Main Content

Natural Disasters Increase Home Value in Adjacent Communities

The Real Deal

Everything Real Estate in the San Fernando Valley
Thursday October 8, 2020
Natural Disasters Increase Home Value in Adjacent Communities

In California, Dante’s Inferno-esque wildfires are just a part of life; in recent years these fires have set new records in terms of how destructive they are. Oddly, these fires appear to be driving housing prices up in areas that have been devastated by fires. While it is upsetting from an equitable perspective, the fact remains that people whose homes have burned down still need a place to live. As people seek homes in areas that aren’t likely to experience significant wild-fire damage, the net effect is to exacerbate the issues of an already dangerously low inventory. When demand is up, and supply is down, prices go up.

The median home price in Napa County set a new record in September 2020, increasing by 30.1% from the previous year to roughly $1.3M; home sales increased by 40% year-over-year. In Sonoma County, the median price increased by 7.7% to about $810k; this is despite the massive fire that ravaged the county in August 2020; home sales increased by 53.1% year-over-year. It is rather common to see what is referred to as “price gouging” in disaster-adjacent communities. Of course, most analysts acknowledge that as fires become more likely in certain areas, housing prices will decrease.

This information can be used to your benefit as a potential seller, if you live in an area near the location of a disaster but were unaffected by it. While we don’t condone price gouging, certain schools of economic thought suggest that increased cost is precisely what should happen when demand is up and supply is down; why those things occurred is irrelevant and morality should play no part in economic decisions. Ultimately, it is up to each individual seller to decide what they are comfortable with, but the bottom line is the value of your home will increase significantly under these circumstances.

At the Chernov Team we understand that knowledge is power, and knowledge of how housing prices are impacted by these all-to-common wildfires is powerful knowledge indeed. At the Chernov Team we know that whoever comes to the table most prepared leaves with he most, and the Chernov Team always leaves the table with the most.


Stay Connected

Sign up to Access:

Exclusive private listings S.F. Valley market insights VIP events

    Thanks for signing up!
    By signing up you agree to our Terms & Conditions

    More Blog Posts

    To Love
    Monday September 20, 2021

    On September 16, 2021, Governor Newsom signed one of four planned bills directed at enabling housing construction i...

    Read Full Post
    Tuesday September 14, 2021

    Since the onset of the pandemic a year-and-a-half ago, sellers have been a lot like the Los Angeles Dodgers – the...

    Read Full Post
    Friday September 3, 2021

    For the sake of not rocking the boat, let’s put aside the question of what is causing climate change and simply a...

    Read Full Post
    Monday August 30, 2021

    On Thursday, August 26, 2021, the Supreme Court of the United States (“SCOTUS”) struck down the Biden Administr...

    Read Full Post
    Tuesday August 24, 2021

    On August 23, 2021, the National Association of Realtors (“NAR”) reported that existing home-sales rose 2% betw...

    Read Full Post
    Monday August 16, 2021

    The new construction sector of the housing market has been seeing positive signs. To briefly recap, the cost of lum...

    Read Full Post